I’ve put up most of the historical stuff I possess. I still have to transcribe an old photocopy I have of Markievicz’s excellent 1923 pamphlet, What Republicans Stand For. However, although I still have some historical work/projects in mind, the blog will mainly move on to more current stuff now. In the next week, I hope to do something on the Sinners’ presidential campaign and also something looking at whether Fianna Fail is finished. Current polls might suggest they are, but I’m sceptical that we’ve reached the point where the corrupt old fake-republican party that dominated 26-county politics from 1932 to 2011, nearly 80 years, is quite finished. On the other hand, the old bourgeois nationalist IPP, which was dominant for nearly 50 years was obliterated in 1918 and never made a comeback in the southern state. Are Sinn Fein about to replace Fianna Fail in a similar way? It seems difficult to imagine; more possible is that Fine Gael, which is an even more shallow bourgeois party than FF, emerge as the new major party of southern politics, and that Sinn Fein and Labour will benefit from a section of previous FF support going their ways.
At the same time, parties as significant as Fianna Fail, with its whole legacy of popular support and business connections, a party very important for the southern ruling class, don’t just fade away – it takes not only a major historical event but a major political transformation in the wider society to destroy such parties. In that sense, 2011 is certainly not 1918 – there is nothing on a political level in Ireland in 2011 that compares with what was happening in Ireland in the 1916-18 period, when the seeds of destruction of the IPP began taking root (and the 1916-18 period was itself built on the decade leading up to the Rising, when a new generation emerged to revitalise republicanism and organise the labour and women’s movements).